Description

This analysis provides a forecast of BCH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-07-13 0.003931 0.004133 0.004341 0.004570 0.004816 0.005073 0.005361
2025-07-20 0.003628 0.003934 0.004261 0.004639 0.005064 0.005530 0.006082
2025-07-27 0.003373 0.003732 0.004126 0.004594 0.005139 0.005757 0.006516
2025-08-03 0.003186 0.003580 0.004023 0.004563 0.005208 0.005959 0.006912
2025-08-10 0.003029 0.003449 0.003930 0.004527 0.005257 0.006129 0.007266
2025-08-17 0.002956 0.003408 0.003935 0.004602 0.005436 0.006457 0.007826
2025-08-24 0.002846 0.003315 0.003871 0.004585 0.005495 0.006633 0.008196
2025-08-31 0.002742 0.003223 0.003800 0.004554 0.005530 0.006774 0.008524
2025-09-07 0.002634 0.003121 0.003712 0.004494 0.005522 0.006856 0.008771
2025-09-14 0.002534 0.003025 0.003626 0.004432 0.005505 0.006921 0.008993
2025-09-21 0.002473 0.002974 0.003595 0.004438 0.005577 0.007106 0.009391
2025-09-28 0.002355 0.002847 0.003461 0.004302 0.005451 0.007011 0.009377
2025-10-05 0.002302 0.002802 0.003433 0.004306 0.005517 0.007188 0.009775
2025-10-12 0.002276 0.002791 0.003449 0.004370 0.005667 0.007491 0.010380
2025-10-19 0.002210 0.002726 0.003390 0.004329 0.005667 0.007575 0.010651
2025-10-26 0.002153 0.002671 0.003342 0.004300 0.005682 0.007680 0.010960
2025-11-02 0.002098 0.002616 0.003292 0.004267 0.005688 0.007770 0.011248
2025-11-09 0.002084 0.002615 0.003315 0.004337 0.005846 0.008098 0.011943
2025-11-16 0.002040 0.002572 0.003280 0.004321 0.005876 0.008228 0.012316
2025-11-23 0.001993 0.002525 0.003237 0.004292 0.005884 0.008323 0.012633
2025-11-30 0.001940 0.002468 0.003177 0.004237 0.005850 0.008348 0.012828
2025-12-07 0.001889 0.002411 0.003117 0.004179 0.005809 0.008359 0.012997
2025-12-14 0.001860 0.002386 0.003101 0.004185 0.005866 0.008531 0.013468